FiveThirtyEight just released its 2021 WNBA forecast which predicts each team’s record, so naturally we’re giving you top sets in that order.
It’s no secret that the WNBA has amazing players and talented coaches. Entering its 25th season after tipping off in 1997, the WNBA is known for efficient offense and creative quick hitters – something we’re definitely fans of here at FMS.
FYI: Fans can get WNBA League Pass for $16.99, meaning you can watch every single game of the 2021 season for under 20 bucks. It’s quite literally the best bargain in basketball. You know we’ll be there study all the XsOs we can handle.
FiveThirtyEight just released its WNBA forecast which predicts the records and chances to advance in the playoffs for each team. The model is based on data and simulations that trace back to that first ’97 season. So, we thought we’d serve you up some XsOs (obviously) in the order of these rankings. Here we go!
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WNBA XsOs
[Click on a play to view frame descriptions and download it to your FastDraw library.]
Seattle Storm – Horns Slide Post
Simple look to post up a bigger guard as the defending champs often do for Breanna Stewart. The Storm are predicted to finish 21-10 with a 96% chance to make the playoffs, 51% chance to make the finals and 31% chance to win the title. [More Storm XsOs]

Las Vegas Aces – Pinch Post Series | Chicago
Las Vegas has plenty of offensive weapons to work with and it knows how to use them. (Highly recommend contributor Aseem Rastogi’s 4-part Aces series from 2019.) The Aces are predicted to finish 18-14 with an 84% chance to make the playoffs, 26% chance to make the finals and 13% chance to win the title. [More Aces XsOs]
Connecticut Sun – High Ball Screen to STS
Connecticut came within a game of the 2019 WNBA trophy, and a few analysts think it can go all the way in 2021. The Sun are predicted to finish 18-14 with an 83% chance to make the playoffs, 25% chance to make the finals and 12% chance to win the title. [More Sun XsOs]
Los Angeles Sparks – Elbow Quick Punch
Los Angeles renewed head coach Derek Fisher’s contract for a third season. (Don’t sleep on this game winner he dialed up in 2018.) The Sparks are predicted to finish 17-15 with a 77% chance to make the playoffs, 19% chance to make the finals and 9% chance to win the title. [More Sparks XsOs]
Minnesota Lynx – Secondary Elevator
Add this to your FastDraw library! I mean who doesn’t want to seamlessly flow from transition into offense? The Lynx are predicted to finish 17-15 with a 77% chance to make the playoffs, 18% chance to make the finals, and 8% chance to win the title. [More Lynx XsOs]
Phoenix Mercury – Zipper Pistol Flare SLOB
This is a go-to ATO to get Diana Taurasi an open three. However, there are also multiple options as you can see in frame 2. The Mercury are predicted to finish 17-15 with a 74% chance to make the playoffs, 16% chance to make the finals and 7% chance to win the title. [More Mercury XsOs]
Chicago Sky – Stagger SLOB Game Winner
When Candace Parker signs for a new team, it immediately becomes a title contender – no matter what kind of plays it runs! The Sky are predicted to finish 16-16 with a 70% chance to make the playoffs, 14% chance to make the finals, and 6% chance to win the title. [More Sky XsOs]
Washington Mystics – Box Zipper SLOB
Washington emphasizes reading and reacting with its offense, and this is a great example from a sideline inbounds set. The Mystics are predicted to finish 16-16 with a 68% chance to make the playoffs, 13% chance to make the finals and 5% chance to win the title. [More Mystics XsOs]
Dallas Wings – Horns Blur
Nothing like a quick hitting horns set, right?! If you have a playmaking 4, excellent. An idea if not: place a guard at the 4 spot and let them go to work. The Wings are predicted to finish 14-18, with a 57% chance to make the playoffs, 7% chance to make the finals, and 3% chance to win the title. [More Wings XsOs]
Atlanta Dream – Elevator BLOB
Place a shooter as the inbounder and try to steal some points from a BLOB situation. The Dream are predicted to finish 14-18 with a 49% chance to make the playoffs, 6% chance to make the finals and 2% chance to win the title. [More Dream XsOs]
Indiana Fever – Ghost Spain Post Up
Spain PNR action is becoming increasingly more common outside of Europe as North American teams see the major benefits of screening for the roll player. The Fever are predicted to finish 13-19 with a 43% chance to make the playoffs, 5% chance to make the finals and 2% chance to win the title.
At the moment we don’t have a single set on the Playbank for the New York Liberty. If you want to submit the first one, give us a shout on Twitter!
Enjoy the season and use #WNBAXsOs to join the conversation with us on social media.



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